The Market Inefficiency
Major bookmakers such as Sportsbet and TAB price races using advanced statistical frameworks. Retail bettors operate without similar tools. Jimmy Knows levels that field.
Data Sources
3+
Racing Australia, Racing Victoria, Live Odds
Daily Model Scans
3×
8AM, 12PM, Pre-race
Model Version
v1.0
Weighted Scoring Engine
Data Infrastructure
STEP 01
Ingest
We pull structured race data from Racing Australia and Racing Victoria.
STEP 02
Analyse
Our model evaluates historical performance, distance form, track bias, barrier efficiency, and strike rates.
STEP 03
Calculate
Calibrated win probability is converted to fair odds and compared against live market pricing.
STEP 04
Detect
Pricing inefficiencies are flagged where market odds exceed model-derived fair odds.
Model Output Preview
Flemington R5 — Good 4 — 1400m
| Runner | Win % | Fair Odds | Market | Discrepancy | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder Road | 28% | $3.57 | $4.20 | +$0.63 | Value |
| Night Storm | 22% | $4.54 | $3.80 | -$0.74 | — |
| Silver Crown | 18% | $5.55 | $6.00 | +$0.45 | Value |
The market moves fast.
Jimmy moves first.
Unlock Today's Edge →